Every time we think Mitt Romney couldn’t possibly upset Barack Obama in the “Big Game” this November we see one more shred of evidence that says to us, “Yes he can!”
Obama is taking a nose dive on foreign policy since the Muslims of the world started daily burnings of his picture….
Today, again The Big “O” is tied dead even with Mister Mitt in the polls…. What a contest!
Rassmussen for September 22, 2012: Romney and Obama Tied !!
Saturday, September 22, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows President Obama and Mitt Romney each attracting support from 46% of voters nationwide. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.
When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 48% and Romney 47%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question.
Platinum Members can see demographic breakdowns and additional information from the tracking poll on a daily basis.
Consumer confidence has moved up to within two points of its 2012 high. Forty percent (40%) now believe the economy is getting better. That’s the most optimistic assessment in seven years. Seventy-one percent (71%) of Democrats believe the economy is getting better, while 67% of Republicans believe it is getting worse. Among those not affiliated with either party, 30% say better and 48% worse.
Almost all the gains in confidence have come from investors. The confidence of non-investors is little changed.
Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).
Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker is the first guest on What America Thinks this weekend. On Scott Rasmussen’s new nationally syndicated television program, Walker addresses his own polarized poll numbers, Paul Ryan and more.
On Mitt Romney’s controversial comment that 47% of Americans are dependent on the government and locked in to vote for Obama, Walker says: “There are some people, like the president, who define success, in government at least, by how many people are dependent on the government. … My view, and I think [Romney’s] view and others’ view of success, is just the opposite: It’s not how many people are dependent, rather how many are not dependent on the government. Not because we kicked them out to the streets, but rather because we empowered them to control their own destiny by getting the private sector back on track and that’s where real economic prosperity, and ultimately freedom, come from.”
The show airs on more than 60 stations nationwide. You can find it at 4:30 this afternoon on KCBS in Los Angeles and at 10:30 Sunday morning on WLNY in New York. Check local listings for other markets. This week’s edition of What America Thinks also features two leading Wisconsin analysts discussing whether the state is really in play in the presidential race and a discussion of public employee pensions.
Sixty-four percent (64%) of Americans believe too many people in this country are dependent upon government.
New state polling shows the president up by three in Wisconsin and up two in Nevada. Obama has jumped to a double-digit lead in Pennsylvania. Romney is now up two in Colorado and ahead by three in Iowa and New Hampshire. All these states with the exception of Pennsylvania remain Toss-Ups in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.
(Presidential Job Approval Data Below)
A president’s job approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s job approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 50% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president’s job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) at least somewhat disapprove (see trends).
Like the last president to run for reelection, George W. Bush, Obama’s numbers are a bit higher in the fall than they were in the summer.
Scott Rasmussen’s weekly newspaper column notes that “63% of Republican voters believe their representatives in Washington are out of touch with the party base.” He adds that while “the GOP establishment has dominated the party since Reagan left the White House, the 2012 election could well be the end of the line.”
If you’d like Scott to speak to your organization, meeting or conference, please contact Premiere Speakers.
Prospects for a Republican takeover of the Senate are becoming less likely. Two states that were recently leaning in the GOP direction are now Toss-ups. In the Wisconsin Senate race, Democrat Tammy Baldwin leads Republican Tommy Thompson. The Nevada Senate race is essentially even.
Rasmussen Reports is a media company whose work is followed by millions on a wide variety of platforms. In addition to the new TV show, we regularly release our work at RasmussenReports.com, through a daily email newsletter, a nationally syndicated radio news service, an online video service and a weekly newspaper column distributed by Creators Syndicate.
To get a sense of longer-term Job Approval trends for the president, Rasmussen Reports compiles our tracking data on a full month-by-month basis.
(Approval Index data below)
Intensity of support or opposition can have an impact on campaigns. Currently, 31% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president. Forty-one percent (41%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -10 (see trends).
During midterm elections, intensity of support can have a tremendous impact on turnout. That was demonstrated in 2010 when Republicans and unaffiliated voters turned out in large numbers to express opposition to the Obama administration’s policies. However, in presidential election years, there is a smaller impact on turnout.
Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology (see methodology). Pollsters for Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton have cited our “unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy.” During Election 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected that Barack Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama was 53% to 46%. In 2004, Rasmussen Reports was the only firm to project the vote totals for both candidates within half a percentage point. Learn more about the Rasmussen Reports track record over the years.
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.